Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 3.696999 4.421292 5.229782 6.196194 7.316829 8.572162 10.081488
2025-07-13 2.836275 3.814094 5.018371 6.597889 8.600671 11.039952 14.218179
2025-07-20 2.233642 3.315569 4.761428 6.806265 9.589737 13.207774 18.220084
2025-07-27 1.865574 3.013978 4.658556 7.134865 10.706766 15.598696 22.713016
2025-08-03 1.513507 2.646010 4.374541 7.129475 11.314317 17.315612 26.419883
2025-08-10 1.194647 2.254447 3.973833 6.865198 11.473928 18.368523 29.237421
2025-08-17 0.956308 1.941089 3.633484 6.625076 11.609088 19.356754 31.999318
2025-08-24 0.807509 1.751796 3.461307 6.620734 12.093565 20.890771 35.680988
2025-08-31 0.690581 1.596565 3.319669 6.639820 12.602548 22.486401 39.561646
2025-09-07 0.583492 1.437447 3.142784 6.565451 12.930922 23.798141 43.064946
2025-09-14 0.471242 1.242096 2.862689 6.256429 12.799745 24.312498 45.267697
2025-09-21 0.405016 1.134199 2.738753 6.226593 13.165394 25.695535 49.022169
2025-09-28 0.346016 1.031885 2.613666 6.185090 13.518398 27.110189 52.986935
2025-10-05 0.325546 1.021512 2.688152 6.566428 14.730649 30.173886 60.093055
2025-10-12 0.295011 0.977699 2.679451 6.767670 15.601598 32.670196 66.342222
2025-10-19 0.275095 0.958457 2.725062 7.092615 16.753041 35.774028 73.903085
2025-10-26 0.240003 0.886639 2.630501 7.086630 17.209494 37.572818 79.138356
2025-11-02 0.198401 0.783364 2.437725 6.823571 17.084763 38.217556 82.214584
2025-11-09 0.164579 0.694595 2.265898 6.584680 16.982876 38.890077 85.373935
2025-11-16 0.144265 0.645400 2.192974 6.580345 17.404685 40.652418 90.775917
2025-11-23 0.127361 0.603301 2.132546 6.599323 17.880018 42.555303 96.569126
2025-11-30 0.110056 0.554086 2.041833 6.525353 18.126670 43.987971 101.488221
2025-12-07 0.089541 0.484527 1.874490 6.218000 17.775693 44.103672 103.691368